Breaking

Tuesday, March 31, 2020

HOW TO VALUE A STOCK 📈 When Should You Buy A Stock? #Best Education Page #Online Earning

HOW TO VALUE A STOCK 📈 When Should You Buy A Stock?


so today we're going to be talking about
how to find the value of a stack and
this has been one of the most requested
videos on my channel mostly because of
the content of been putting out lately
talking about being a value investor in
talking about some of the great lessons
from the intelligent investor and
talking about trying to find the value
of a stock and then buying a stock or
investing in something when the price is
below the value so the question i've
been getting is how do you determine the
value of a stock and it's tricky there's
a lot of different ways to do it but I'm
going to give you six things that I look
at when I'm trying to determine the
value of a stock so as you've know if
you've watched my videos previously the
price of a stock swings between optimism
and pessimism that's straight out of the
intelligent investor again if you guys
are looking to learn about investing
that's the number one book I recommend
and it's linked up in the description
but the price always swings between
pessimism and optimism neither of which
is sustainable value investors buy from
the pessimists and sell to the optimists
so you are greedy when others are
fearful and fearful when others are
greedy in the words of Warren Buffett so
value investors are looking to buy when
the price is below the value the thing
is the market prices a stock wrong from
time to time and this is due to a number
of reasons
it's an overreaction that there's one
thing that's consistent with the stock
market
it's an overreaction this can be in
either direction it can be an
overreaction to good news or an
overreaction to bad news you'll see this
frequently because as we said that
stocks the price of a stock swings from
pessimism to optimism on a pendulum so
you're always going to see stocks that
are overly optimistic and stocks that
are overly pessimistic but what causes a
stock price to get out of whack first of
all there's disappointing earnings so if
they start reports quarterly earnings
that disappoint investors you will see
that stock fallen value for those of you
who saw what happened to AMD stock on
their quarterly earnings in May you are
familiar with what I'm talking about
here an industry or market correction so
if the overall industry is doing poorly
or if the overall market is doing poorly
this will drag down the stocks
themselves as well any bad news
surrounding the company will trigger
this as well as well as economic and
business
cycles so there are cycles within an
actual business I mean for example you
got to think certain stores do better
during back-to-school certain businesses
do better in the summer certain
businesses do better closer to Christmas
so there's different things those are
business cycles that will affect the
stock price and all these things
oftentimes push a stock below the actual
value it pushes the stock price below
the actual value of that investment so
as a value investor you're looking to
find the value of a stock and then buy
it when the price is below the value so
how do you find the value of the stock
there's six things I'm going to show you
guys number one is the price to earnings
ratio this is the one that most people
are familiar with this is also known as
the p/e ratio to determine this you
basically take the current share price
of the stock divided by the annual
earnings per share
obviously earnings per share would be
the total earnings divided by the
outstanding shares that would give you
earning per share so the best way to
look at price to earnings ratio is what
you pay for one dollar of company
earnings and it's used to compare
companies within a sector this is one of
the biggest mistakes people make is
they'll compare the p/e ratio of a tech
stock to a utility stock you can't do
that because every industry has a
different p/e ratio so the best way to
use the p/e ratio is to determine what
the average p/e ratio is of that sector
and then compare the p/e ratio of one
company to the sector or industry
average and then to another company to
determine whether the price to earnings
ratio is above equal to or below other
companies within that sector or the
sector average now the problem with the
p/e ratio one problem anyway is that it
does not work for a company that is
losing money they will have a negative
p/e ratio or they will have no p/e ratio
at all and then if you look forward or
backwards you do have the trailing p/e
in the forward p/e which are also useful
metrics when looking at the value of a
stock but we're just going to focus on
the regular old price to earnings ratio
because I didn't want this video to be
half an hour long so I'm going to give
you as an example of how to calculate a
p/e ratio we're going to look at Apple
for example and you don't need to
calculate this stuff guys if you just
Google Apple p/e ratio you can find it
on Yahoo or I think it's right on the
home page of Google there when you're
searching for a stock so you don't need
to do this but I want you guys to
understand where the
comes from so we're going to go through
the actual examples so let's take Apple
so we're going to look at the last four
quarters for Apple as far as their
earnings per share so over the last four
quarters they've reported a dollar
sixty-nine 336 210 and 167 so right
there we see a perfect example of a
business cycle obviously whatever
quarter that was Apple made a lot more
money so that is the cycle of a business
that's one example of business cycles
which can cause stocks to be to become
undervalued the total between these four
will give us our annual EPS over the
last four quarters so that gives us
eight dollars and 82 cents and if we
take the current share price for Apple
which as of August second closing was
150 oh five divided by the annual EPS
that gives us a p/e ratio of 17 point
zero one so what does that mean that
means you need to invest 17 dollars in
one penny in order to yield one dollar
of company earnings that is what the p/e
ratio means so you would take apples p/e
ratio and compare to other companies
within that sector as well as the
average p/e ratio of that sector to
determine whether or not shares of Apple
are more expensive equal to or less
expensive than other companies out there
so number two the second thing when
determining the value of a stock is to
look at the price to book ratio or the
PB ratio it's very similar to calculate
but instead of using the annual earnings
per share you're going to be using
equity per share so you take the current
share price divided by equity per share
and if this figure is below one it means
that stock is trading less than the
value of the actual assets and if that
is above one it means the stock is
trading at more than the value of the
actual assets let's look at the monster
energy drinks for example this is the
monster beverage corp so their total
equity is at three point five three
billion dollars so to calculate the
actual equity per share you have to take
their total equity divided by
outstanding shares which gives us a
price of six dollars and 22 cents which
would be the equity portion or book
value again this is something you can
use Google if you search for monster
beverage corp Book value it's going to
give you this figure but I just want you
guys to understand where that number
comes from so then if you want to
actually calculate the price to book
ratio you would take the price for the
share you would take the share price
which as of August 2nd was 53:12
/ that actual figure there the equity
per share that gives you an eight point
five four
so that means shares of Monster Energy
Corp are trading at eight point five
four times the actual book value of that
company or the actual equity per share
so you would use this to compare the
multiple on the company assets between
companies of the same sector so the
third thing I like to look at is the
price to earnings to growth ratio or the
p/e G ratio to calculate this you
basically take the price to earnings
ratio and divide it by the projected
five-year earnings growth rate again you
don't need to calculate this yourself
you can find the p/e G on Yahoo Finance
or a couple of different places you can
find the p/e G so you don't need to sit
there on paper and write this out I just
again want to show you guys how this is
actually calculated this is a good
metric to use for a company that's
experiencing rapid growth it's a good
way to determine whether the current p/e
ratio is justified or if the company is
overvalued and if you find a PE G below
one that company is undervalued what I
will tell you right now is with the
current economy we're in with this bull
market it's going to be very uncommon to
find a company with a PE G below one
that's a sound investment simply because
many stocks are fairly valued if not
overvalued because we are in a very
highly valued market right now if you're
in a bear market it's much easier to
find value so actually the best time to
go value hunting is during a bear market
the more overextended a bull market
becomes the harder it becomes to
actually find value so if you're someone
who's looking for a value investment and
you're not finding anything it might be
because we are in a bull market and it's
very difficult to find a stock that is a
good value that the price is below the
value but once we're in a bear market
they're all over the place so that's
actually the best time to go hunting for
value so for example let's look at a
company that is going to be seeing rapid
growth let's look at invidia so
currently they have a price to earnings
ratio of fifty five point six four which
is quite high and they have a five-year
growth rate of 13% so their PE g would
be that fifty five point six four
divided by thirteen so four point two
eight so that's nowheres near that one
it's not below one so this is not
undervalued meaning that much of their
growth is factored into that
share price so if you look at the p/e
gee that's kind of high that's a little
bit higher than I would be comfortable
with as far as price to earnings to
growth goes and then you can again take
this metric and compare it to other
companies to see whether or not there
actually will growth is factored into
that share price yet or not the fourth
thing to look at is the return on equity
this is the annualized net income to
shareholder equity or in simple terms
how well a company uses investments to
generate growth in earnings these are
the general guidelines that people
follow there's no set standards but
seventeen to twenty percent is
considered very good 20 to 25 percent is
excellent and if a company is generating
above 25 percent that is superior the
best way to look at this is the average
return on equity just four examples I
pulled the ROI of three companies as of
March 2017 but to get a better snapshot
you would look at their average roee or
maybe their return on equity over the
last one or five years but just for
example Amazon's return on equity for
march of 2017 for the quarter ending in
march of 2017 was fourteen point three
four percent Samsung's return on equity
was sixteen point five six percent and
Intel's return on equity was seventeen
point six two percent so you need to
figure out what your criteria is for
this and what you're looking for and if
that company doesn't have a return on
equity that you are comfortable with
then that would be a company you would
not invest in as a value investor the
fifth thing to look at is the debt to
equity ratio this is the total debt
divided by the shareholder equity and
the lower the better and you want to
avoid any company with a debt to equity
ratio above two so I took Google which
is one of the best companies as far as
their debt to equity ratio goes as of
June of 2017 their report for June of
2017
they have three point nine five five
billion dollars of debt on one hundred
forty eight point two eight six billion
dollars of equity giving them a debt to
equity ratio of zero point zero two six
six
so that is nowhere near to that is a
very low number that is a fantastic debt
to equity ratio so you want to look for
a great debt to equity ratio that's
probably as good as they're going to get
number six we have their current ratio
this is very important too it's also
sometimes called the liquidity
ratio this is a measurement of the
ability to pay short-term and long-term
obligations this is a very simple one to
calculate you divide the liabilities
from the assets now this is an
interesting one because you want it to
be within a certain range you don't want
it to be too low but you also don't want
it to be too high so if the current
ratio is below 1 that means the
liabilities exceed the assets which is
not a good thing if the current ratio is
above 1 that means the assets exceed the
liabilities however if the current ratio
is above 3 that might mean they're
holding back they could actually have a
little bit more liabilities and be more
invested in the business that might mean
they're actually holding on to too much
cash at that point usually what I look
to what I look for is a current ratio of
1 to 2 so let's look at AMD for example
this is just something you would search
for you would search like AMD current
ratio and you'll find that number but as
of March 2017 they had a current ratio
of 1.8 to so that falls between 1 and 2
which is what I look for that's a good
current ratio so what you're going to do
with all this because this is a lot of
information what I recommend you do you
figure out after doing some research
what numbers you're looking for and
you'll create a checklist so then when
you're out there hunting for value when
you're looking at a stock you're going
to go through and you're going to look
up all these metrics and if they meet
your criteria you add them to your list
and if they don't meet your criteria you
say well I don't think there's value in
this company and you may not find
companies that meet every single piece
of your criteria here but you're going
to look at them each individually and
there's also other factors to consider
as well outside of just this fundamental
stock analysis so I might actually do a
follow-up video talking about what that
would be but you're going to kind of
just look at this and you're going to
look for the best possible scenario
you're going to look at the companies
that meet most of your requirements so
maybe your checklist would look like
this you want to look for a company with
a price to earnings ratio below the
sector average you want to find a
company with a low debt to equity ratio
you're looking for a return on equity of
17% or more that's considered very good
I mean if it's in the 20s that's
fantastic you're looking for a current
ratio of 1 to 2 they have a responsible
amount of liabilities and they're also
not holding back you know they do have a
good amount of debt and that can be good
because that is helping them grow the
business
then you're also looking for a
reasonable price to earnings to growth
ratio as well as the price to book value
and this is how you are a value investor
you're looking at things like this and
determining whether or not the prices
above the value or the prices below the
value there's a lot that goes into this
this is certainly no easy task and
there's no there's multiple ways to
actually do this you guys can figure out
what metric makes most sense to you and
there's also other ones you can use
these are just the ones that I look at
when I'm trying to determine the value
of a stock anyways guys I hope you
enjoyed this video I know this one's
more technical than what we usually get
into it here but you can do more
research on each one of these things on
their own and learn more about them if
you enjoyed this video please drop a
like and if you are new to my channel
please consider subscribing to be
notified of any future uploads and as
always I thank you for taking the time
to watch this video
you

No comments: