so right now the markets are down
massively overall and most people's
portfolios look something like mine now
I invest in individual stocks so as a
result I'm seeing more of a dip here but
overall I am down about ten thousand
dollars or thirty four percent on a
money weighted return now I personally
live in New York State which has become
a hotbed for this virus and there were
some very drastic actions that were
taken place yesterday which is spurring
a lot of talk about this helicopter
money so what we found out yesterday is
that restaurants bars gyms and movie
theaters would need to close their doors
by 8 p.m. on Monday bars and restaurants
only and as a result millions of service
workers are going to be without work and
this just so happens to be a part of the
population that is not well-off
financially to begin with as many of
these people solely rely on tips for
their living so as a result if they're
not able to work and have people coming
into restaurants what exactly are they
going to be doing to have money to pay
their bills especially at a time when
schools are closing and they have to be
watching their kids and they may not
have access to school lunch programs and
things like that
now many states including New York have
also asked non-essential businesses to
consider a voluntary closure and they
also said that this may be an
involuntary closure down the road where
essentially businesses are forced to
close their doors so the types of
businesses that are asked to remain open
are things like you know convenience
stores and pharmacies but non-essential
businesses like coffee shops for example
are being asked to consider voluntary
closures which again is going to put
more service workers out of work
giving them no real options here for
income now here's one local example of
this for me the Rivers Casino in my area
announced that they would be shutting
down as part of this plan by the New
York state government and about 900
employees are being sent home
with two weeks pay but beyond that it is
very uncertain about
what these workers will be doing for pay
and that is why we are seeing talks
about this potential helicopter money
strategy or giving everybody essentially
a cheque giving them money to go out
there and buy their groceries and
essential items for their survival
so Mitt Romney came out yesterday
proposing this idea that every American
would receive a $1,000 check to support
themselves in their families during this
crisis time and this has a lot of
parallels to an idea proposed by former
presidential candidate Andrew yang known
as the freedom dividend where every
American over 18 years of age would
receive something called a freedom
dividend in the amount of $1,000 so a
lot of people are excited about this
potentially or wondering whether or not
it will actually happen so let's get
into that right now and talk about the
likelihood of us all getting a check for
$1,000 from the US government now this
idea of helicopter money is considered
to be an alternative to something known
as quantitative easing which is what we
are seeing happen right now and if you
don't know what that is guys don't worry
we're going to break it down right now
quantitative easing happens during a
time of crisis and this is when the
federal government steps in and
purchases large amounts of Treasury
bonds and mortgage-backed securities in
order to free up liquidity for the banks
now the biggest problem here with this
quantitative easing is that the money
that is used to purchase these assets
essentially comes out of thin air
also known as the government printing
money and I'm sure we have all heard of
this before how governments can print
money since we are no longer backed on
the gold standard and of course the
problem with printing money out of thin
air is that this drastically increases
the supply devaluing each dollar that
every one of us have in our wallets and
in our bank accounts now quantitative
easing has been used successfully in the
past during times of economic crisis but
we have seen examples in history of when
it was taken too far and had
catastrophic effects for example this is
exactly what happened in World
when Germany decided to leave the gold
standard and basically print massive
amounts of money to fund the war effort
well this drastically increased the
supply of this country's money and
essentially dropped the value
substantially also known as a period of
hyperinflation so quantitative easing is
a useful tool in the tool belt of the
Federal Reserve but if it is used
irresponsibly it can have catastrophic
effects so essentially this idea of
helicopter money is an alternative to
the quantitative easing of the banks and
instead of giving money to the banks it
would be given directly to the people as
the government prints more money to free
up liquidity for business to continue
and for people to continue spending
money stimulating the overall economy
now we found out on Sunday night that
this quantitative easing was already
taking place and the Federal Reserve was
going to be printing 700 billion dollars
of money in order to free up liquidity
for the banks to allow them to make
loans to small businesses as well as
consumers and the best way to understand
this quantitative easing is to think of
it as the Federal Reserve swapping
assets with the banks they give the
bank's 700 billion dollars of cash or
liquidity and in exchange they take
those Treasury notes and mortgage-backed
securities now the overall effect this
had on the market we saw yesterday it
resulted in the worst day in the stock
market since in 1987 as this largely
panicked investors and made them think
you know why is the government pumping
money into the economy what is the
bigger picture and what is going on now
during a economic recession the
government essentially has two different
tools in their tool belt that are
largely used number one is the
quantitative easing which we've talked
about already
aka printing money and the second one is
lowering interest rates to lower the
cost of borrowing money for consumers
and businesses so the Federal Reserve
also cut interest rates to zero which
essentially means they don't really have
any tools left in their tool belts other
than just continuing to print money and
if we end up in a recession and the
government is unable to
basically get us out of that through
quantitative easing this is referred to
as a liquidity trap because there's no
real good option to stimulate the
economy other than negative interest
rates which is a totally different topic
for a different video so essentially by
cutting interest rates to zero
these Federal Reserve has used their
biggest tool and their tool belts
already and if there's more action
necessary beyond this they would have to
look beyond cutting interest rates and
additional quantitative easing which is
why this idea of helicopter money is
being tossed around so should we all
expect to get a $1,000 check from the US
government I would say it is highly
unlikely for the following reasons first
of all this is what you would consider
to be a last ditch effort after
quantitative easing and interest rates
cuts failed to do their job and we
really haven't given it enough time to
see how this will affect the overall
economy second of all there's a number
of large problems with the helicopter
money strategy and that's largely why it
has never been implemented even though
it has been talked about during times of
economic crisis during the stock market
crash of 2008 it was tossed around but
never implemented and Japan also talked
about this strategy in 2016 but again it
never actually came to fruition
because there's a number of massive
problems with just sending everyone a
check for a set amount of money and the
biggest problem here is that with
quantitative easing this action can be
reversed because essentially what is
happening here is the Federal Reserve is
swapping assets with the banks they give
them a supply of money to free up
liquidity and they take on the Treasury
notes and mortgage-backed securities
however down the road when the economy
is good they can swap back have the
money given back to the Federal Reserve
and give the bank those assets back if
the federal government simply gave
everyone a check for a set amount of
money there's no way that action could
be reversible in the future because
nobody's going to send the government
back their thousand dollars because
they're going to have spent it already
on something else
another big question surrounding
helicopter money is whether or not
people
would actually spend the money because
the idea here is to give people a
thousand dollars to buy supplies and to
spend to stimulate the overall economy
and many people would probably not spend
the money instead they would hoard it in
their savings accounts defeating the
purpose of stimulating the overall
economy so are we likely to see it the
answer is probably not what we'll
probably see instead is potential tax
breaks for businesses or individuals
which is essentially accomplishing the
same task of helicopter money freeing up
money and liquidity for the overall
economy and increasing the money supply
or we may see stimulus packages directed
to certain industries like the service
industry but the idea of everyone
getting a check for a thousand dollars
while it sounds nice on paper when you
actually dig into it there are some
massive holes with this plan so anyways
guys that is the end of this video let
me know what you think down in the
comment section below and if you enjoy
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so much for watching guys and I will see
you in the next video
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